Humanity's Problems

Health and diseaseInfectious disease

Also filed under Diseases of poverty.

Malaria

A mosquito-borne parasitic disease that kills mostly young children in sub-Saharan Africa. Prevention works and is cheap; progress stalled after 2015 and resistance is growing on two fronts at once.

What would have to be true

Milestone Baseline Latest Target By Progress Status
Cut malaria mortality by 90 per cent against 2015 annual deaths 577,000 deaths 597,000 deaths 58,000 deaths 2030 0% stalled

Progress is the distance travelled from baseline to target, not the share of the target reached. A milestone that began near its goal has not made 90 per cent of the progress.

What works, and what you can do

donor

Fund insecticide-treated nets and seasonal chemoprevention

Give to programmes distributing nets and seasonal preventive medicine to children in high-transmission areas.

Both are among the most rigorously evaluated public health interventions that exist. trial

Effort one decision · Cost any amount

What is unsettled

How fast is insecticide and drug resistance eroding current gains?

Resistance is spreading in both the mosquito and the parasite. How much of the post-2015 plateau is resistance and how much is funding is contested.

What would settle it Resistance surveillance reported on the same geography and cadence as case data.